2019 Tour de France Stage Analysis

2019 Tour de France stage power modeling — Best Bike Split

All stages of the 2019 Tour de France were modeled using the Best Bike Split performance modeling software. For non Time Trial stages the peloton was modeled as a single entity using the typical pulling power exhibited by riders at the front of the main group. Try using the Time Analysis Tool to highlight specific sections of the course that could influence race day strategy.

The 2019 Tour de France is shaping up to be another very exciting edition, and though some of the favorites are out before it begins, last year's winner Geraint Thomas returns to face a bevy of hungry newcomers anxious to step to the challenge. This year's route features some extremely challenging stages, but what makes this tour even more daunting is the clustering of repeated difficult stages back to back. There are obvious singular standouts like Stage 6 which features 7 categorized climbs including the summit finish in La Planche des Belles Filles where the race organizers threw in an added 1000 meters of steep gravel roads to the finish, as well as the iconic Alp passes of stage 18 and 19 featuring the famous Col d'Izoard and climb to Tignes respectively. However, we wanted to bring focus to Stages 12 to 15 where the tour flows through the Pyrenees and the true contenders and teams looking for GC are sure to separate themselves from the chaff.

Ultimately, the Tour can be won or lost in so many ways in any given year and that is part of what makes it one of the greatest sporting events in the world. It's fun to analyze and predict what is going to happen but like every year there will be surprises, new stories and of course excitement. We think Stages 12 - 15 will deliver on everything that makes the tour great, but that being said we know that with 1/3 of the race remaining it will likely be far from over. Please check back on the stage models as we will regularly update them for weather or tactic changes as the tour progresses.

Stage	Type	Date	Avg. Watts	Avg. Speed	Time
Stage 1 (Bruxelles to Brussel)	Flat	07/06/2019	356 w	44 km/h	04:33:24
Stage 2 (Bruxelles Palais Royal to Brussel Atomium)	Team Time Trial	07/07/2019	529 w	56 km/h	00:29:13
Stage 3 (Binche to Épernay)	Hilly	07/08/2019	354 w	46 km/h	04:42:38
Stage 4 (Reims to Nancy)	Flat	07/09/2019	357 w	43 km/h	05:07:13
Stage 5 (Saint-Dié-des-Vosges to Colmar)	Hilly	07/10/2019	351 w	42 km/h	04:14:52
Stage 6 (Mulhouse to La Planche des Belles Filles)	Mountain	07/11/2019	355 w	38 km/h	04:30:02
Stage 7 (Belfort to Chalon-sur-Saône)	Flat	07/12/2019	341 w	41 km/h	05:47:10
Stage 8 (Mâcon to Saint-Étienne)	Hilly	07/13/2019	337 w	41 km/h	05:03:10
Stage 9 (Saint-Étienne to Brioude)	Hilly	07/14/2019	342 w	42 km/h	04:17:40
Stage 10 (Saint-Flour to Albi)	Flat	07/15/2019	354 w	45 km/h	04:57:06
Stage 11 (Albi to Toulouse)	Flat	07/17/2019	367 w	43 km/h	03:57:46
Stage 12 (Toulouse to Bagnères-de-Bigorre)	Mountain	07/18/2019	364 w	43 km/h	05:08:51
Stage 13 (Pau to Pau)	Individual Time Trial	07/19/2019	400 w	46 km/h	00:34:57
Stage 14 (Tarbes to Tourmalet Barèges)	Mountain	07/20/2019	343 w	36 km/h	03:29:21
Stage 15 (Limoux to Foix Prat d'Albis)	Mountain	07/21/2019	353 w	39 km/h	04:45:43
Stage 16 (Nîmes to Nîmes)	Flat	07/23/2019	355 w	45 km/h	04:01:57
Stage 17 (Pont du Gard to Gap)	Hilly	07/24/2019	349 w	44 km/h	04:41:18
Stage 18 (Embrun to Valloire)	Mountain	07/25/2019	351 w	40 km/h	05:25:38
Stage 19 (Saint-Jean-de-Maurienne to Tignes)	Mountain	07/26/2019	348 w	37 km/h	03:34:30
Stage 20 (Albertville to Val Thorens)	Mountain	07/27/2019	340 w	33 km/h	04:05:13
Stage 21 (Rambouillet to Paris Champs-Élysées)	Flat	07/28/2019	122 w	25 km/h	13:30:05

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