Much like the previous stage, the ride into La Roche-sur-Yon should result in a bunched sprint. Those who missed out in Stage 1 will be looking for some redemption. The caveat would be a very early break along with cooperative wind. If a breakaway group can get 6 minutes clear through the initial climbs and work together, then the peloton will need to up their overall average pulling power by about 10% to reel it back in before the finish. The incentive will be there for teams vying for the win, so expect those teams to put in some work to keep gaps manageable. Get additional Data-Driven Coverage of the Tour on TrainingPeaks.
The peloton was modeled as a single entity using the typical pulling power exhibited by riders at the front of the main group. See what you would ride this stage in on a solo ride by setting the power to 85% of your FTP on the Time Analysis Tool.