25 mi
1 mi 124 mi
1:05
5 min 7 hr
165 lbs
88 lbs 330 lbs
Aero / TT Bike
Aero / TT Hoods / Drops Upright / MTB

Your FTP Estimate

Estimated FTP
watts
Avg Power
watts
Average Speed
mph
Watts / Kg
w/kg
Assumed Int. FactorAssumed IF
by ride duration
Est. CdA

Want a real FTP number instead of an estimate?

A structured field test — or a course-specific model with your real CdA — gets you there in about 2 minutes.

This estimate assumes flat terrain, no wind, ~8.5 kg bike + gear, Crr 0.004 (asphalt), sea-level air density, and a duration-based intensity factor to back into FTP from average power. Real courses, wind, hills, and pacing will shift the true number.

Build My Free Race Plan

Your Course-Specific Pacing Plan

Get a Segment-by-Segment Custom Power Plan

A flat-terrain estimate gives you a useful starting number. Best Bike Split goes further — modeling elevation, wind, aerodynamics, and pacing strategy to build a segment-by-segment power plan specific to your FTP, course, drag, and race-day conditions.

example triathlon power plan
race plan data like time, speed, power, IF, TSS, VI and more

Power-Based Pacing Plans, Not Just Speed Estimates

Most bike split calculators work backwards from a target speed — which tells you nothing about whether that speed is actually sustainable for your fitness level. Best Bike Split generates a dynamic, watt-by-watt power target plan built around your actual FTP, so your Ironman or 70.3 bike split target is grounded in your real physiological capacity, not a generic algorithm.

Course-Specific Elevation and Terrain Modeling

A hilly 70.3 course can take 15+ minutes longer than a flat one at identical power output — a gap no flat-terrain calculator can predict. Best Bike Split ingests real race course GPS and elevation data to model exactly how climbs, descents, and flat sections affect your effort and speed. Whether you're racing Kona, St. George, or a local Olympic-distance tri, your pacing plan reflects every hill and valley on that specific course.

Real-Time Wind and Weather Integration

Headwinds are never fully offset by tailwinds due to speed asymmetry — a 15 mph headwind costs more time than a 15 mph tailwind saves, yet most calculators ignore wind entirely. Best Bike Split factors in forecasted wind speed and direction along your actual race route, giving you a far more accurate predicted split and a smarter pacing strategy for whatever conditions race day brings.

Aerodynamic and CdA Drag Modeling

Your body position on the bike is the single biggest determinant of speed at the same power output — two athletes with identical FTPs but different positions can finish 8–10 minutes apart on the same course. Best Bike Split lets you input your aerodynamic drag coefficient (CdA) and rolling resistance (Crr), so your predicted split reflects your actual equipment and position rather than a generic assumption invisible to any flat-terrain calculator.

Optimized Variable Pacing Strategy

Holding constant power on a rolling course isn't optimal — it just feels easier to plan. On a course with real climbs and descents, variable power targets based on gradient produce measurably faster splits while leaving more in your legs for the run. Best Bike Split calculates exactly when to push harder on false flats, when to conserve on steep climbs, and when to let momentum carry you on descents — all optimized for your minimum overall race time.

Seamless Integration with Your Training Data and Devices

Best Bike Split connects with TrainingPeaks, Garmin, Wahoo, and other leading platforms so your power targets sync directly to your bike computer as a custom workout. No manual entry, no guesswork on race day — just execute the plan built specifically for you, your bike, and your course.

Trusted by Coaches and Age-Group Athletes Alike

From Ironman World Championship qualifiers to first-time time trial athletes, Best Bike Split has become the gold standard for race power planning. A generic FTP calculator can estimate your functional threshold power. Best Bike Split helps you actually use it to pace to perfection on race day.

Create Free Race Pacing Plan

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Benchmark Your Estimate

FTP Reference Ranges by Category

How your estimated FTP compares to typical riders, based on watts per kilogram — the standard classification from Hunter Allen and Andrew Coggan's power-based training research.

Category Men (w/kg) Women (w/kg) 65 kg Rider 70 kg Rider 75 kg Rider
Untrained < 2.23 < 1.90 < 145 W < 156 W < 167 W
Fair 2.23 – 2.78 1.90 – 2.35 145 – 181 W 156 – 195 W 167 – 209 W
Good 2.79 – 3.92 2.36 – 3.32 181 – 255 W 195 – 274 W 209 – 294 W
Excellent 3.93 – 5.04 3.33 – 4.29 255 – 328 W 275 – 353 W 295 – 378 W
Superior ≥ 5.05 ≥ 4.30 328+ W 354+ W 379+ W

Ranges based on Allen & Coggan, Training and Racing with a Power Meter.

Calculator FAQs

FTP Estimator Common Questions

Functional Threshold Power (FTP) is roughly the highest power output you can sustain for about an hour. It's the reference number used to set training zones, pace races, and calculate metrics like Intensity Factor and Training Stress Score. Most power-based training and race planning starts with an accurate FTP.

Enter the distance and time from a ride you already completed, along with your body weight and riding position. The tool uses a physics model to back-solve the average power required to produce that speed, accounting for aerodynamic drag and rolling resistance. It then applies a duration-based intensity assumption to convert that average power into an estimated FTP.

This estimate is a rough starting point, not a substitute for a real FTP test. It assumes flat terrain, no wind, and a generic CdA based on riding position — real courses, weather, drafting, and pacing all shift the true number. A structured field test or a course-specific model with your actual measured CdA will always be more accurate.

Riding position is the biggest driver of aerodynamic drag (CdA) at any given speed. A rider tucked into an aero position on a TT bike faces significantly less air resistance than the same rider sitting upright on flat bars, so the same speed implies a very different power output — and therefore a different estimated FTP — depending on position.

You can use any steady, reasonably hard effort — a time trial, a hard group ride segment, or a structured test. The estimate gets less reliable for rides with a lot of coasting, stops, or highly variable effort, since the model assumes a fairly consistent power output across the ride.

This tool solves the physics equation in reverse — estimating power and FTP from a known speed. Best Bike Split's race pacing plans work the other direction: starting from your real FTP and course data (elevation, wind, your measured aerodynamics) to build a segment-by-segment power target for an upcoming race.

Easy Setup

Create Your Power Plan in 3 Steps

triathlete power profile

Build Your Athlete Profile

Enter your FTP, weight, bike specs, and aero data to generate precise race predictions. Don't know your CdA? Our system can estimate it from your position and equipment or from a past ride so you can start racing with confidence.

triathlon specific courses

Select or Create a Course

Choose from thousands of existing triathlon courses including most Ironman and 70.3 venue, or upload your own GPX file. Our database includes detailed elevation profiles and road surfaces, plus historical or forecasted weather for accurate predictions.

custom triathlon pacing plan

Get Your Personalized Plan

Receive a detailed, mile-by-mile triathlon bike pacing strategy with variable power targets optimized for every section of your course. See your predicted bike split, IF, TSS and exactly how your pacing strategy balances speed with run readiness.

Train and Race with Your Plan

Download your plan to Zwift, TrainerRoad, or any ERG-mode trainer for indoor training. Export to Garmin or Wahoo for outdoor training rides and race-day execution. Practice makes perfect — run your exact race plan in training before the big day.

Create Free Pacing Plan

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