This stage should come down to a bunch sprint. There will probably be some breaks early but they will be hard pressed to get a meaningful gap. Teams trying to notch a sprint win or add to their tally will keep things controlled. The finish in Pau has three fairly tight turns in the last 1.5 km and the road narrows after the final turn before opening up in the final 200-300 meters. Positioning will be through this section and any hesitation or wrong move could cause some havoc. Get additional Data-Driven Coverage of the Tour on TrainingPeaks.
For this stage the peloton was modeled as a single entity using the typical pulling power exhibited by riders at the front of the main group. If you want to see what the power would be like sitting in the peloton, just use the Time Analysis Tool to lower the drag by 50% and lower the power until the adjusted and original times match up.